2 We're pretty sure that if you can get more than one or two earthquakes in 100 years, you're going to get a major volcanic eruption, says David Titley, director of the Southwest Research Institute and a professor of earth sciences at Arizona State University.

Some other interesting stuff about a natural disaster:

1) When the last big volcanic eruptions occurred over 1,000 years ago, it took about 40 years for the resulting debris to settle and spread around the planet, and even more to die off quickly enough before the oceans or land died off.

2) “We’re pretty sure that if you can get more than one or two earthquakes in 100 years, you’re going to get a major volcanic eruption,” says David Titley, director of the Southwest Research Institute and a professor of earth sciences at Arizona State University. If you got an 18-month period while someone sits on a chair, is the air around them really stale with pollutants, and people are breathing in dust and garbage? It’s certainly a concern. Most of the big volcanic eruptions were of low magnitude, the only ones that created significant damage on land. This study published Jan. 12 in Science indicates that an 18-month-long period of the “precautionary Principle.” When the last big volcanic eruptions occurred over 1,000 years ago, it took about 40 years for the resulting debris to settle and spread around the planet, and even more to die off quickly enough before the oceans or land died off. 3) “The same principle can be invoked by a natural disaster,” says Titley. “If you put yourself in a really bad situation with a lot of risk that the community hasn’t prepared for, it may be better to wait and avoid that disaster. This doesn’t negate the need for people to be prepared. It just shows that you can avoid the worst conditions with pre-disaster planning.” In fact, research by Titley and his associates showed that, to the degree that someone is willing to admit to an impending catastrophe, they are less likely to die when living on that coast than those who say “well, I have lots of things to do.” In this way, a pandemic seems like a good opportunity for people to look back on times when the people on their island wouldn’t have seen a way to help themselves.

This is a great post on the subject. I agree wholeheartedly with Dr. Titley, and I suspect that his research will also influence scientists and policy makers in the near and long term. So what else are we waiting for?

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